The Office of the Actuary in the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services annually produces projections of health care spending for categories within the National Health Expenditure Accounts, which track health spending by source of funds (for example, private, Medicare, Medicaid) and by type of service (hospital, physician, prescription drugs, etc.). The latest projections begin after the latest historical year (2008) and go through 2019.

The 2008-2018 NHE projection was updated and extended in the summer of 2009 in order to take into account relevant subsequent legislation (American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, Children's Health Insurance Program Reauthorization Act) and to act as a baseline for the Office of the Actuary's cost estimates for national health reform proposals. See downloads below.

Downloads
NHE Projections 2009-2019, Forecast summary and selected tables (PDF, 415 KB) NHE Historical and projections, 1965-2019 (ZIP, 32 KB) Factors Accounting for Growth in Personal Health Care Expenditures, Selected Calendar Years 1993-2019 (PDF 33 KB) Projections methodology (PDF, 188 KB) Accuracy analysis of the short-term (11-year) national health expenditure projections (PDF, 83 KB) Updated and Extended National Health Expenditure Projections, 2010-2019 (memorandum dated June 29, 2009; based on 2008-2018 NHE projection) (PDF, 64 KB)
Related Links Inside CMS
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Related Links Outside CMS
Health Affairs article: Truffer et al, "Health Spending Projections Through 2019."

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